Design-Based Causal Inference with Missing Outcomes: Missingness Mechanisms, Imputation-Assisted Randomization Tests, and Covariate Adjustment
報告人簡介
Yang Feng is a Professor of Biostatistics at New York University. He obtained his Ph.D. in Operations Research at Princeton University in 2010. Feng’s research interests encompass the theoretical and methodological aspects of machine learning, high-dimensional statistics, network models, and nonparametric statistics, leading to a wealth of practical applications. He has published more than 70 papers in statistical and machine learning journals. His research has been funded by multiple grants from the National Institutes of Health (NIH) and the National Science Foundation (NSF), notably the NSF CAREER Award. He is currently an Associate Editor for the Journal of the American Statistical Association (JASA), the Journal of Business & Economic Statistics (JBES), and the Annals of Applied Statistics (AoAS). His professional recognition includes being named a fellow of the American Statistical Association (ASA) and the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (IMS), as well as an elected member of the International Statistical Institute (ISI).
內(nèi)容簡介
Design-based causal inference, also known as randomization-based or finite-population causal inference, is one of the most widely used causal inference frameworks, largely due to the merit that its validity can be guaranteed by study design (e.g., randomized experiments) and does not require assuming specific outcome-generating distributions or super-population models. Despite its advantages, design-based causal inference can still suffer from other data-related issues, among which outcome missingness is a prevalent and significant challenge. This work systematically studies the outcome missingness problem in design-based causal inference. First, we propose a general and flexible outcome missingness mechanism that can facilitate finite-population-exact randomization tests for the null effect. Second, under this general missingness mechanism, we propose a general framework called "imputation and re-imputation" for conducting finite-population-exact randomization tests in design-based causal inference with missing outcomes. This framework can incorporate any imputation algorithms (from linear models to advanced machine learning-based imputation algorithms) while ensuring finite-population-exact type-I error rate control. Third, we extend our framework to conduct covariate adjustment in randomization tests and construct finite-population-valid confidence regions with missing outcomes. Our framework is evaluated via extensive simulation studies and applied to a large-scale randomized experiment. Corresponding Python and R packages are also developed.
